Hi friends,
As you likely know by now, President Trump signed the landmark One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBB) into law. It's one of the most sweeping tax-and-spending reforms in U.S. history, blending permanent tax relief, massive restructuring of federal programs, and a reassertion of state-level responsibility.
You probably also know that it’s very complex. I hope the information below is somewhat helpful to you. I’ve also provided several sources where you can continue researching.
On a personal note, the debt is a big concern to me. We won’t really know the end result for a long time, though we will get indications by how tariffs go between now and the end of President Trump’s term. DOGE results are still rolling in and some cuts are on an annual basis. Manufacturing reshoring and job growth are improving the economy.
Keep the faith and keep praying for America and for peace. God bless you.
If you want to jump to the most detailed breakdown I found, go here: Holland & Knight: Sector-by-Sector Analysis of OBBB.
Signed into law on July 4, 2025
Many provisions take effect immediately; others phase in over time
Tax cuts extended and expanded for workers, families, and seniors
Medicaid and SNAP eligibility tightened
Deficit expected to rise short-term but offset by reforms and historic tariff revenue
Bill reflects partial shift from federal handouts to state oversight
Social programs streamlined, somewhat reformed, not eliminated
Taxes, Deductions, and Credits
Trump-era tax cuts extended permanently
New deductions:
Overtime pay
Tipped income
Auto loans
Senior citizens’ Social Security: Up to $12,000 for couples. Social Security Applauds Passage of Legislation Providing Historic Tax Relief for Seniors
Child tax credit increased to $2,200 per child
SALT deduction cap raised for 2025 to $40,000 for middle-income households (five-year, temporary boost)
Estate and gift tax exemption permanently increased
MAGA baby accounts: $1,000 one-time deposit per newborn (details pending Treasury guidance)
Education and Student Loans
Income-based repayment for federal student loans is capped, and eligibility for Graduate PLUS loans is curtailed—reforms expected to save roughly $300 billion over 10 years.
Medicaid, SNAP, and the Safety Net
Work requirement: Able-bodied adults (19–64, without serious disability or full-time children) must meet 80 hrs/month of work, volunteering, education, training, community service, or job search. Exemptions include caregivers, disabled, pregnant, or those in inpatient treatment.
Redetermination (update) every 6 months (was annually)
Stricter documentation and ID verification to curtail fraud
States now pay 5% of SNAP benefit cost and 75% of admin cost
Penalties for error rates above 6% encourage good management
Provider taxes capped, reducing how states use them to leverage federal funds, curtailing waste
Lawful immigrants face new waiting periods, while illegal immigrants remain ineligible for most federal aid
Obamacare subsidies trimmed for non-citizens and those above threshold income
Around 16 states plus DC offer state-funded Medicaid or similar programs for illegal immigrants; CA, OR, IL, MA, MN are among them. According to CBO data, some 1.4 million people who are not legal residents of the United States are currently enrolled in Medicaid. While the law bars direct federal Medicaid funds for illegal immigrants, the reality is the program costs more than $900 billion a year, more than two-thirds of which is paid by the federal government. So no matter where you live, your tax dollars go to ‘benefits’ for illegal immigrants including emergency Medicaid, infrastructure support, and indirect subsidies. And the cost has grown rapidly—more than 130 percent in 10 years. The cost sharing provision would take effect Oct. 1, 2028. The provider tax reduction (applies only to states’ payments from federal) will be phased in incrementally from 2028 through 2032.
To support the work requirement, the bill expands state-led job training credits as a preferred alternative to federal welfare dependency.
The bill blocks federal Medicaid funds from going to any clinic that performs abortions—including Planned Parenthood—for one year , though states can differ from this.
In all, the Medicaid provisions of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act could reduce federal spending on the program by $1 trillion over 10 years, according to an analysis by KFF.
Of course, ‘healthcare’ providers, among others, don’t like the changes. Keep in mind, losing tax dollars is not to their benefit.
According to the AP:
“The losses won’t come all at once. The GOP’s “ One Big, Beautiful Bill Act ” makes changes that will [gradually decrease] enrollment through federal health care programs over a decade in order to save nearly $1 trillion [of tax dollars. If Congress doesn’t undo the savings by just spending it somewhere else, that’s a huge dent in the projected ‘cost’ of the bill.]
Some provisions have phased-in delays (e.g., Medicaid work mandates shall not begin before the end of 2026).
The bill is likely to reverse years of escalating health insurance rates in the U.S., gains that have also been marked by record spending on federally-funded health care coverage.”
Tariffs and Revenue Offsets
Over the next decade, tariff collections are projected to reach $3.3 trillion, potentially covering much (or even all) of the estimated $2.8 to $3.4 trillion deficit increase tied to the bill’s spending and tax cuts (CBO estimate). (The updated CBO estimate is not yet available, but look for it here probably by the end of July. The page is as of 5/22/2025 at the time of this writing.)
The bill leans heavily on tariffs to generate revenue—over $106 billion collected in just the first 5 months of 2025 (record-setting).
Tariffs can offset the cost, but Congress must resist the urge to continue/grow spending. Otherwise, the deficit will not be helped.
Tariffs are how America funded itself before the income tax existed, especially under Andrew Jackson, who famously paid off the national debt largely through tariff income.
Federal vs. State Responsibility Shift
Major financial responsibility for Medicaid and SNAP shifts to states
Reduces federal bureaucracy and cost over time
Forces states to manage fraud, eligibility, and coverage with local accountability
Critics fear reduced access; supporters praise constitutional realignment
Federal-to-state cost shifting is significant. That means savings to taxpayers. Even if your state has income tax, states manage tax dollars better than federal. In general, the closer to ‘home’, the better tax dollars are managed.
What Was Removed or Changed Last-Minute
Section 899 excise tax on imports removed after G7 diplomatic talks
Despite early headlines, most clean energy tax credits survived; the rollbacks were narrowed during Senate negotiation and remain relatively minor. The bill also adds new restrictions on clean energy subsidies for projects linked to foreign adversaries, such as China, marking a targeted rather than broad-based rollback.
Remittance tax proposals altered from 5% to targeted exclusions
Constitutional and Moral Clarity
Social safety net programs are not Constitutionally required
No Constitutional amendment mandates healthcare, food, housing, or subsidies
Programs like Medicaid and SNAP are created by statute or regulation and funded by taxpayers
Reducing handouts is not "taking from the poor"—it’s easing the burden on all taxpayers
Tax cuts are by percentage; those who pay more taxes get more tax dollars back
Critics spin it as "wealth transfer up," but it’s really a rollback of forced redistribution
Social safety net programs have greatly expanded since FDR’s New Deal and especially during the 1960s and ACA era. Critics view this as government overextension. Social Security now represents about 23% of federal spending, a major, long-term cost.
What Comes Next
CBO final score expected later in July
Treasury and HHS to issue regulatory guidance on:
MAGA baby accounts
Medicaid documentation processes
Penalty enforcement timelines
Foreign Aid Review Requirement: The bill also requires a full audit of non-military foreign aid by FY2026, signaling a likely push toward future reductions in overseas spending.
The bill also authorizes roughly $175 billion in expanded border and deportation operations, reflecting a renewed focus on immigration enforcement alongside domestic reforms.
States will begin preparing for expanded oversight and budget pressures
Further Reading and Sources
CBO Budget Estimates for House Version of OBBB - Not yet updated
White House Myth vs. Fact Sheet (Full disclosure - there’s some ‘spin’ in this.)
https://apnews.com/article/gop-bill-trump-medicaid-cuts-coverage-health-bb4f090d2706ffb3d5652e70f246a10e
https://familiesusa.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/One-Big-Beautiful-Bill-Act-Provisions-Related-to-Medicaid-ACA-and-Medicare.pdf
https://www.cbo.gov/publication/61461 (Check for updated information end of July.)
This is the actual bill. https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/1/text Senate 7/1/2025
https://www.businessinsider.com/big-beautiful-bill-affects-taxes-student-loans-maga-accounts-2025
https://www.politico.com/news/2025/06/26/supreme-court-planned-parenthood-decision-00425785
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/jul/02/trump-bill-house-senate
https://time.com/7299765/big-beautiful-bill-house-republicans-trump/
https://www.naco.org/news/us-senate-passes-amended-reconciliation-bill-text-what-it-means-counties
For detailed tracking by sector (agriculture, tax, energy, etc.), we recommend Holland & Knight’s detailed review as a companion to this summary.
P.S. The poverty level is well named. Some requirements are based on 138% of Federal Poverty Level (FPL). For a family of 2 in 2025: 100% FPL ≈ $19,720, so 138% ≈ $27,200/year. Ranges adjust with household size; e.g., a family of 4: ~$48,500 FPL, so 138% ≈ $66,900.
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I'm repeating a comment made to a like article. I guess I'm getting lazy...
I don't wish to sound callous, however if states desire to fund health care, food assistance and other programs at the current, federal level of disposition of taxpayer funds uneconomically to these items, then their taxpayers will have to step up to the plate. I'm amazed at how a program, run inefficiently and uneconomically by the feds is great according to the states, however when it becomes their baby they complain.
State governments need to issue themselves big-boy and big-girl pants and get on with the business of governing. Maybe state legislatures can shed the petty BS attitude they've had for years now that they can't blame the federals for their decisions.
It's not all gravy for the federal government, however. With all the requirements for funding and enforcement going to the states, the feds should have a pretty significant list of those who will be the subjects of Reductions in Force (RIF'ed). That's an additional saving for the taxpayer.
Insofar as the OBBBA is concerned, universities and colleges should "pay their fair share!" I'm not against that. Higher education is supposed to prepare students for productive careers, not create radical activists. Being woke with a BS degree is being broke. Business do not hire on your pronouns, they hire on your capability. I don't know anyone who's hiring underwater basket weavers or specialists in the sex lives of the Wombat.
So taxing universities and colleges should have nothing to do with their syllabus, just on their ability to shelter wealth (and they complain about millionaires and billionaires?). What will be more impactful to those temples of higher learning is the removal of federal subsidies for anti-American activities like racism against anyone.
On a side note, it seems that the OBBBA not only makes the US more financially responsible (or at least more responsive), it dry up the progressive money laundering supply. It's amazing how the DNC is bankrupt right after USAID was defunded. Is that just a coincidence? I think not.
Oh, and Murder Incorporated aka Planned Parenthood is defunded for a year. Should be forever, but it's a start.
Jerome Powell deserves to be unemployed for spending billions on a renovation of the HQ of a semi-public corporation. Bye bye seems to good for him.